COVID-19 will soon become like any other common-cold disease in the next few years, affecting mostly young children who have not yet been vaccinated or exposed to the virus. The study by the US-Norwegian team noted that because COVID-19 severity is low among children.
“Following infection by SARS-CoV-2, there has been a clear signature of increasingly severe outcomes and fatality with age, Yet, our modelling results suggest that the risk of infection will likely shift to younger children as the adult community becomes immune either through vaccination or exposure to the virus,” said Ottar Bjornstad from the University of Oslo in Norway.
“Depending on immunity and demography, our RAS model supports this observed trajectory. It predicts a strikingly different age-structure at the start of the COVID-19 epidemic compared to the eventual endemic situation, he added.